Liverpool v Chelsea Betfair trading tip

Chelsea have had a below par set of performances recently.  As usual the manger has been getting hot under the collar.  The ref is giving the other side unfair penaltys, that player dived, it’s not my weak defensive midfield’s fault, etc etc.  Most recently Chelsea drew in the midweek Champions League class with Athletico Madrid.  The keeper, Petr Chech and John Terry, joined Eden Hazard in the treatment room.

As Chelsea’s Barlcays Premiership chances have waned the appetite for tough games against the likes of Liverpool will do so too.  With an injury troubled squad Sunday’s away game against Liverpool at Anfield looks interesting from a trading stand point.

First let’s look at Liverpool’s performance against the top six clubs.

v Everton Won 4 – 0

v Tottenham Won 4 – 0

v Arsenal Won 5 –  1

v Man City Won 3 – 2

Next is Liverpool V Chelsea Sunday 27th April at 2.05pm.

What is noticeable about these matches is that there are loads of goals, and, Liverpool keep winning.  In a match where the teams are relatively equally matched (like this Sunday’s), goals give great opportunities for trading the draw, or over / under goal markets on Betfair.

Further evidence that his is a good game to trade is that Chelsea have won just 1 of 4 away games against the top six teams.   Get this, Liverpool score an average of 2.74 goals per game and moody Mourinho’s men just 0.74 goals away from home.

With Chelsea’s mind on the Champions League it’s worth a free bet with Bet365, or Ladbrokes.  Ladbrokes are offering a money back (as a free bet) on match result win draw win, first scorer, correct score and scorecast bets if Liverpool V Chelsea ends in a draw.  This is a great hedge for a trade on the draw going wrong.  The terms and conditions are on the Ladbrokes site.

For Betfair traders, this one looks great for backing the draw at longer odds at the begging of the match.  When the inevitable goals arrive, the odds will shorten and the trade can be closed for a profit.  If the favourite (Liverpool) scores first the odds for a draw will shorten significantly to produce a nice profit.  If Chelsea score first the odds will not shorten very much at first, but, soon will if Liverpool do not equalise.  Traders should not forget to use a risk management strategy to give an exit signal if Chelsea does score first.